DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Vermont.