DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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