DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump in North Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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