DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump in North Carolina.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.