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DeSart & Holbrook model in Mississippi: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 43.7% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, while Trump will win 56.3%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Mississippi.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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