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DeSart & Holbrook model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 64.0% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, while Trump will end up with 36.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.1% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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