Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 69.8% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.