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Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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