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Washington, D.C.: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 92.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 7.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 89.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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