Washington: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead
The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will win 41.6%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.