Washington: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 58.4% of the two-party vote share in Washington, while Trump will win 41.6%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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