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Vermont: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 70.6% for Clinton, and 29.4% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on October 28, Clinton was predicted to achieve 70.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 3.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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