The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.