Utah: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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