Utah: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 38.3% for Clinton, and 61.7% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win only 37.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.8% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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