South Dakota: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 40.1% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, whereas Trump will win 59.9%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect 40.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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