The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 43.8% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 56.2%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to collect 56.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.