The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 46.7% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, whereas Trump will win 53.3%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect 46.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.