Pennsylvania: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.2% for Clinton, and 46.8% for Trump in Pennsylvania. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to achieve 46.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they can contain large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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