Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 56.5% for Clinton, and 43.5% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to garner 43.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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