Ohio: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 52.3% of the two-party vote share in Ohio, while Trump will win 47.7%. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to collect 48.8% of the vote.

Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the Republican and Democratic candidates have historically gained similar voter support. This is why the election outcome here is viewed as critical in determining which party will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.