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North Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 50.4% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, while Trump will end up with 49.6%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.7% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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