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New York: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 63.5% of the two-party vote share in New York, whereas Trump will win 36.5%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to win 63.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 63.3% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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