The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.7% for Clinton, and 59.3% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 40.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Montana. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 2.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Montana.