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Mississippi: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.5% for Clinton, and 56.5% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 43.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which incorporates different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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