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Minnesota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.8% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 45.3%. In comparison, on October 26 Trump was still predicted to achieve 45.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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