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Michigan: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead


The Crosstab model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.0% for Clinton, and 46.0% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to win 45.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data. The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Michigan.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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