Maryland: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 64.0% of the two-party vote share in Maryland, whereas Trump will end up with 36.0%. In comparison, on October 24, Clinton was predicted to win only 63.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.0% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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