The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 57.8% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will win 42.2%. In comparison, on October 25, Clinton was predicted to collect only 57.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.