Kansas: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead
The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 42.1% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will win 57.9%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect 42.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.