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Indiana: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.6% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, while Trump will end up with 56.4%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to end up with 44.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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