Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 70.0% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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