Hawaii: Crosstab model shows Clinton in the lead

The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.1% for Clinton, and 36.0% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to achieve 36.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 70.0% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 5.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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