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Georgia: Crosstab model shows Trump in the lead

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The Crosstab model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 48.4% for Clinton, and 51.6% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect only 48.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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