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Florida: New Dixie Strategies*Dixie Strategies* poll shows Clinton behind by 4 points

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Results of a new poll carried out by Dixie StrategiesDixie Strategies were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Florida for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

In Florida, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly referred to as a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Dixie StrategiesDixie Strategies poll results
42

Clinton

46

Trump

Of those who replied, 42.0% said that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 46.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from October 25 to October 26 with 698 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.7 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single poll. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 47.7% for Clinton and 52.3% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 48.8% of the two-party vote in Florida. That is, Polly's prediction is 3.5 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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