DeSart model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will end up with 64.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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