Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 67.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.