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DeSart & Holbrook model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 44.3% for Clinton, and 55.7% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on October 24 Trump was still predicted to collect 56.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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