The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.7% for Clinton, and 56.4% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on October 22 Trump was still predicted to achieve 57.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.