DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, whereas Trump will end up with 45.6%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.3% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.