DeSart & Holbrook model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 34.3% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 65.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 64.9% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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