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DeSart & Holbrook model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 34.5% for Clinton, and 65.6% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on October 28 Trump was still predicted to achieve 65.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.9% of the two-party vote in Idaho. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Idaho.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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