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DeSart & Holbrook model in California: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 65.5% for Clinton, and 34.5% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 62.5% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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