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Crosstab model in Wisconsin: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 53.0% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in Wisconsin. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to achieve 53.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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