The Crosstab model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 54.4%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to collect 53.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.
The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.