Crosstab model in Tennessee: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 41.3% for Clinton, and 58.8% for Trump in Tennessee. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to achieve 58.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in Tennessee. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Tennessee.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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