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Crosstab model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead

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The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 42.7%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was predicted to win 42.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, because they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The Crosstab model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Oregon. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oregon.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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