Crosstab model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 37.7% for Clinton, and 62.3% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain 38.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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