Crosstab model in North Dakota: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 37.7% for Clinton, and 62.3% for Trump in North Dakota. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to gain 38.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 3.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.