Crosstab model in New Jersey: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.7% of the two-party vote share in New Jersey, while Trump will end up with 41.3%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect only 58.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in New Jersey. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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