Crosstab model in New Hampshire: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.5% of the two-party vote share in New Hampshire, whereas Trump will win 45.5%. In comparison, on October 27, Clinton was predicted to collect only 54.1% of the vote.

Historically, New Hampshire has been a battleground state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why forecasts in this state are of particular interest.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in New Hampshire. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the Crosstab model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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