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Crosstab model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

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The Crosstab model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 45.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will end up with 54.6%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to gain 55.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Crosstab model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Missouri. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Missouri.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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