Crosstab model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead
The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 43.7%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to win 43.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.