Crosstab model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

The Crosstab model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.3% of the two-party vote share in Maine, while Trump will end up with 43.7%. In comparison, on October 27 Trump was still predicted to win 43.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the Crosstab model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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