Crosstab model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead
The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 60.2%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.