Crosstab model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

The Crosstab model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 39.9% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 60.2%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 59.1% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the Crosstab model for Trump are thus 1.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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