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West Virginia: New PPP (D) poll has Clinton trailing by 27 points

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PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

PPP (D) poll results
30

Clinton

57

Trump

The results show that 30.0% of interviewees said that they would cast a ballot for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 57.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.8 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, Polly's combined forecast is 3.5 points below his polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error reveals that this deviation is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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